BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Diego St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 73 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  154.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2018 Away    L   147.79  10  31   1A  30 (  8-  4) Stanford               -4.40    -16.60                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   130.85  28  14   1B  92 (  2-  8) Sacramento St         -21.35 *   35.35                      
  3 09/15/2018 Home    W   167.14  28  21   1A  43 (  7-  6) Arizona St             14.95     -7.95                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    W   154.01  23  20   1A  79 (  7-  6) Eastern Michigan        1.82      1.18                      
  5 10/06/2018 Away    W * 176.49  19  13   1A  25 ( 10-  3) Boise St               24.30    -18.30                      
  6 10/12/2018 Home    W * 157.77  21  17   1A  65 (  5-  7) Air Force               5.58     -1.58                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    W * 142.09  16  13   1A 111 (  1- 11) San Jose St           -10.10     13.10                      
  8 10/27/2018 Away    L * 153.05  24  28   1A  72 (  7-  5) Nevada                  0.85     -4.85                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    W * 152.38  31  23   1A 104 (  3-  9) New Mexico              0.19      7.81                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    L * 136.11  24  27   1A 108 (  4-  8) UNLV                  -16.08     13.08                      
 11 11/17/2018 Away    L * 165.98  14  23   1A  16 ( 12-  2) Fresno St              13.78    -22.78                      
 12 11/24/2018 Home    L * 142.64  30  31   1A  99 (  8-  5) Hawaii                 -9.55      8.55                      
 13 12/19/2018 Neutral                      1A  38 (  8-  4) Ohio U.                          -9.16             
      Averages             152.19  22.3 21.8

Best game:  176.49 = 6 point win over Boise St
Worst game: 130.85 = 14 point win over Sacramento St
Team stdev:  13.37